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Award Abstract #0326757
EID: Ecological Drivers of Rodent-borne Disease Outbreaks: Trophic Cascades and Dispersal Waves.
| NSF Org: |
EF
Emerging Frontiers
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| Initial Amendment Date: |
September 9, 2003 |
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| Latest Amendment Date: |
July 1, 2008 |
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| Award Number: |
0326757 |
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| Award Instrument: |
Continuing grant |
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| Program Manager: |
Samuel M. Scheiner
EF Emerging Frontiers
BIO Directorate for Biological Sciences
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| Start Date: |
September 1, 2003 |
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| Expires: |
February 28, 2009 (Estimated) |
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| Awarded Amount to Date: |
$1746268 |
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| Investigator(s): |
V. Kenkre kenkre@unm.edu (Principal Investigator)
Terry Yates (Former Principal Investigator)
Gregory Glass (Co-Principal Investigator)
Robert Parmenter (Co-Principal Investigator)
V. Kenkre (Former Co-Principal Investigator)
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| Sponsor: |
University of New Mexico
1700 Lomas Blvd. NE
ALBUQUERQUE, NM 87131 505/277-4186
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| NSF Program(s): |
ECOLOGY OF INFECTIOUS DISEASES,
BE: NON-ANNOUNCEMENT RESEARCH
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| Field Application(s): |
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| Program Reference Code(s): |
SMET, EGCH, 9251, 9250, 9178, 9169, 9150, 7242, 1355, 1228
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| Program Element Code(s): |
V361, 7242, 1629
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ABSTRACT
Climate variability is thought to affect a number of rodent-borne zoonotic diseases such as plague, vector-borne zoonotic bartonellosis and hantaviral diseases. This project team will evaluate the Trophic Cascade Hypothesis (TCH), an hypothesis that was developed to explain changing levels of human risk for zoonotic diseases associated with climate variability in the U.S. Southwest. This study will (1) measure the responses of rodent food resources (plant cover and net primary production, nut/berry/acorn production, and ground-dwelling arthropod populations), rodent/vector reservoir abundance, and pathogen infection prevalences in rodents, to meteorological events (summer monsoons and El Nino - Southern Oscillation [ENSO] phenomena), (2) assess the usefulness of meteorological data and various remotely-sensed (satellite) imagery in accurately predicting these responses, and (3) develop spatially- and temporally-explicit models that characterize both demographic and population density changes with climate and ecosystem net primary production, as well as dispersal patterns and rates for several rodent species responsible for hantavirus, plague and Bartonella transmission.
These models will serve more broadly as prototypes for more generalizable predictive models that may be applied to rodent-borne diseases in other ecosystems throughout the world. As global climate change continues to alter regional meteorological patterns, the models may prove useful in predicting range expansions of vector-borne diseases, thereby allowing appropriate planning and mitigation strategies to be implemented for public health enhancement.
PUBLICATIONS PRODUCED AS A RESULT OF THIS RESEARCH
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(Showing: 1 - 19 of 19)
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Abramson, G., L. Giuggioli, V.M. Kenkre, J. Dragoo, R.R. Parmenter, C. Parmenter, T. Yates.. "Diffusion and Home Range Parameters of Rodents: Peromyscus maniculatus in New Mexico.," Ecological Complexity, v.3, 2006, p. 64.
Abramson, G.; Giuggioli, L.; Kenkre, V. M.; Dragoo, J.; Parmenter, R. R.; Parmenter, C.; Yates, T.L.. "Diffusion and Home Range Parameters of Rodents: Peromyscus maniculatus in New Mexico.," Ecological Complexity, v.3, 2006, p. 64.
Crowl, T. A.; Crist, T. O.; Parmenter, R. R.; Belovsky, G.; Lugo, A. E.. "The spread of invasive species and infectious disease as drivers of ecosystem change.," Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, v.6, 2008.
Crowl, T. A.; Crist, T. O.; Parmenter, R. R.; Belovsky, G.; Lugo, A. E.. "The spread of invasive species and infectious disease as drivers of ecosystem change.," Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, v.6, 2008.
Giuggioli, L., G. Abramson, V.M. Kenkre, R.R. Parmenter, T.L. Yates. "Theory of Home Range Estimation from Mark-Recapture Measurements of Animal Populations.," Journal of Theoretical Biology., v.240, 2006, p. 126.
Giuggioli, L., G. M. Viswanathan, V. M. Kenkre, R. R. Parmenter, and T. L. Yates.. "Effects of finite probing windows on the interpretation of the multifractal properties of random walks.," European Letters Journal, v.77:4000, 2007, p. 1.
Giuggioli, L.; Abramson, G.; Kenkre, V. M.; Parmenter, R. R.; Yates, T. L.. "Theory of Home Range Estimation from Mark-Recapture Measurements of Animal Populations.," Journal of Theoretical Biology., v.240, 2006, p. 126.
Giuggioli, L.; Abramson, G.; Kenkre, V. M.; Suzan, G.; Marce, E.; Yates, T. L.. "Diffusion and Home Range Parameters from Rodent Population Measurements in Panama.," Bulletin of Mathematical Biology., v.67, 2005, p. 1135.
Giuggioli, L.; Viswanathan, G. M.; Kenkre, V. M.; Parmenter, R. R.; Yates, T. L.. "Effects of finite probing windows on the interpretation of the multifractal properties of random walks.," European Letters Journal, v.77:4000, 2007, p. 1.
Glass, G. E.; Shields, T. M.; Parmenter, R. R.; Goade, D.; Mills, J. N.; Cheek, J.; Cook, J.; Yates T. L.. "Predicted hantavirus risk in 2006 for the Southwestern U.S.," Occasional Papers, Museum of Texas Tech University., v.255, 2006, p. 1.
Glass, G. E.; Shields, T.; Cai, B.; Yates, T. L.; Parmenter, R. R.. "Persistently highest risk areas for Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome: Potential sites for refugia.," Ecological Applications, v.17, 2007, p. 129.
Glass, Gregory E., Timothy M. Shields, Robert R. Parmenter, Diane Goade, James N. Mills, James Cheek, Joseph Cook, and Terry L. Yates.. "Predicted hantavirus risk in 2006 for the Southwestern U.S.," Occasional Papers, Museum of Texas Tech University., v.255, 2006, p. 1.
Glass, Gregory E., Timothy Shields, Bin Cai, Terry L. Yates, and Robert R. Parmenter. "Persistently highest risk areas for Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome: Potential sites for refugia.," Ecological Applications, v.17, 2007, p. 129.
Hope, A., R.R. Parmenter. "Food Habits of Rodents Inhabiting Arid and Semi-arid Ecosystems of Central New Mexico.," Special Publications of the Museum of Southwestern Biology, 2007, p. 1.
Hope, A.; Parmenter, R. R.. "The Diets of Rodents Inhabiting the Arid and Semi-arid Ecosystems of Central New Mexico.," Special Publications of the Museum of Southwestern Biology, v.9, 2007, p. 1.
Kenkre, V.M.. "Statistical Mechanical Considerations in the Theory of the Spread of the Hantavirus.," Physica A, v.356, 2005, p. 121.
Michener, W; Bildstein, K; McKee, A; Parmenter, R; Hargrove, W; McClearn, D; Stromberg, M.. "Biological field stations: research legacies and sites for serendipity.," BioScience, v.59, 2009, p. 300.
Peixoto, I.; Giuggioli, L.; Kenkre, V. M.. "Arbitrary nonlinearities in a convective population dynamics with small diffusion.," Physical Review E, v.72, 041, 2005, p. 1.
Zlotin, R. I.; Parmenter, R. R.. "Patterns of mast production in pinyon and juniper woodlands along a precipitation gradient in central New Mexico (Sevilleta National Wildlife Refuge)," Journal of Arid Environments, v.72, 2008, p. 1562.
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