Current and Alternative Sources of Data on the Science and Engineering Workforce
Knowledge about the size and characteristics of the science and engineering (S&E) workforce is extremely important in understanding and assessing the place of the United States in this increasingly technological world. For more than 50 years, the National Science Foundation (NSF) has attempted to meet the need for current information on this important segment of our workforce. Although representing only about 4.6% of the civilian noninstitutionalized population in 1997, or about 12.5 million people, the impact of this group on our society far exceeds its number because of the contributions that scientists and engineers make to technological innovation and economic growth. It is no exaggeration to anticipate that scientists and engineers will prove critical to the continued social and economic development of the nation as it confronts the challenges of the future.
The most comprehensive current source of data on the S&E workforce in the United States is the integrated Scientists and Engineers Statistical Data System (SESTAT), a revised system that NSF introduced in 1993. SESTAT draws upon three surveys, with data collection carried out in 1993 and then at 2-year intervals for the rest of the decade. The three surveys are as follows:
Thus, the SESTAT target population includes residents of the United States who were noninstitutionalized and age 75 or younger with at least a bachelor's degree who were either educated as or working as a scientist or engineer.
Although SESTAT provides substantial employment-related data for those in the target population, users note some limitations in the data. The current definition of the SESTAT target population is restricted to those with at least a bachelor's degree. Thus, individuals with a science or engineering occupation but who do not have a bachelor's or higher degree (in any field) are excluded from the target population.
In addition, the current NSF system has some problems covering the S&E target population. Although those residing in the United States at the time of the 1990 decennial census with only non-U.S. degrees are covered by SESTAT through the NSCG, those with degrees who currently reside in the United States but came here after the census, and who did not receive a degree from a U.S. institution since 1990, are not covered. Also, individuals holding non-S&E degrees in 1990 and working in non-S&E occupations in 1993 who changed to S&E occupations after that time are not covered. Furthermore, individuals working in an S&E occupation who received non-S&E degrees since 1990 are not covered.
This report addresses issues of target population and coverage and examines the feasibility and desirability of other survey approaches for obtaining the required data with the desired sample sizes. Other existing federal statistical data collection efforts are considered for use as possible sources of samples for the SESTAT surveys. Thus, the report considers alternative methods for addressing two issues: (1) defining the target population to meet user data needs, and (2) achieving good coverage of the target population.
As noted above, being a small proportion of the total population, scientists and engineers are a "rare" population, i.e., they are difficult to study in a cost-effective manner using general population survey techniques. For example, to locate individuals in the general population who are in scope for the S&E population, and to oversample particular subgroups of the S&E population, would require a large volume of household screenings. It is essential, therefore, to find a cost-effective approach to screen the general population. In this context, it is natural to look at a variety of alternative sample designs, as well as to examine existing large-scale, ongoing governmental household surveys that might lend themselves effectively to such a screening requirement. To that end, this report explores and examines the feasibility of using several federal data-gathering efforts for screening purposes, including the planned American Community Survey, the Current Population Survey, the National Health Interview Survey, the National Immunization Survey, and other selected large household or population surveys. Another very different approach is to sample members of the S&E population at their places of work, using an establishment-based sample design. This report also explores this option as a source of data on the S&E workforce.