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SBE 2020: Submission Detail

ID Number: 231
Title: The Emerging Crisis in Sampling of Household Populations
Lead Author: Guterbock, Thomas M.
Abstract: It is rapidly becoming impractical to achieve, at reasonable cost, fully representative samples of the general population, whether at the local or national level in the United States. Face-to-face surveys using area-probability sampling on a national scale are far beyond the financial reach of most researchers or the capabilities of most survey organizations. The increasing difficulties and costs of gathering data from a representative sample of some known population threatens the external validity of sample surveys across the social sciences, whether for basic or applied research, and threatens NSFs and many other federal research budgets and the policies that rely on survey results. New methods of sampling are being devised and used, but none is thus far able to offer near-complete coverage along with acceptable rates of response at a reasonable cost. Resolving this coming crisis will require new methodological and statistical research that exploits newly available communication and database technologies and questions some of the fundamental assumptions that are commonly accepted in survey sampling. This paper is a call for a new, focused emphasis from NSFs Social, Behavioral and Economic Sciences Directorate on resolving the sampling crisis in these fields in the coming decade.
PDF: Guterbock_Thomas_231.pdf

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