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Unemployment among Doctoral Scientists and Engineers Remained Below the National Average in 2013

NSF 14-317 | September 2014| PDF format. PDF  
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by Lance A. Selfa and Steven Proudfoot[1]

In 2013, an estimated 837,900 individuals in the United States held research doctoral degrees in science, engineering, and health (SEH) fields, an increase of 4.0% from 2010.[2] Of these individuals, approximately 735,900 were in the labor force, which includes those employed full time or part time and those actively seeking work (i.e., unemployed). The unemployment rate for SEH doctorate recipients in the labor force was 2.1% in February 2013, down from 2.4% in October 2010 (table 1). Moreover, the 2013 unemployment rate of the SEH doctoral labor force was one-third of the February 2013 unemployment rate for the general population aged 25 years or older (6.3%).[3]

TABLE 1. Number in labor force and unemployment rate for scientists and engineers with U.S. doctoral degrees, by field of doctorate: Selected years, 2001–13
Field of doctorate 2001 2003 2006 2008 2010 2013
Number in labor force
All SEH fields 582,500 606,300 630,300 670,200 709,700 735,900
Biological, agricultural, and environmental life sciences 142,400 148,800 158,200 167,600 179,600 187,700
Computer and information sciences 10,900 12,300 13,700 16,300 19,400 22,200
Mathematics and statistics 26,300 29,000 29,500 31,200 32,500 33,000
Physical sciences 113,200 115,700 115,800 119,900 124,400 125,600
Psychology 89,600 93,000 97,500 101,000 104,200 106,600
Social sciences 77,200 79,600 81,000 85,100 88,700 90,200
Engineering 101,300 104,400 108,000 119,800 129,100 136,300
Health 21,500 23,600 26,500 29,300 31,800 34,200
Unemployment rate (percent)a
All SEH fields 1.3 2.1 1.4 1.7 2.4 2.1
Biological, agricultural, and environmental life sciences 1.1 2.0 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.2
Computer and information sciences 0.9 2.4 1.4 1.2 2.1 1.8
Mathematics and statistics 1.5 2.4 1.0 1.0 1.5 1.2
Physical sciences 1.7 2.5 2.1 2.4 3.5 2.7
Psychology 0.8 1.7 0.9 1.3 1.7 1.6
Social sciences 1.3 1.5 1.0 1.3 1.9 1.9
Engineering 1.7 2.7 1.4 1.8 2.8 1.9
Health 0.5 1.3 0.7 1.0 1.9 2.0

SEH = science, engineering, and health.

a Based on count of doctorate recipients in the labor force.

NOTES: Numbers represent weighted counts, rounded to the nearest 100. Details may not add to totals due to rounding. October was the survey reference month in 2003, 2008, and 2010; April was the survey reference month in 2001 and 2006; February was the survey reference month in 2013. Estimates from 2008 vary from those previously published because a revised sample design was retroactively applied. The revised design integrates the international component of the Survey of Doctorate Recipients. Estimates from 2010 and 2013 also reflect the revised sample design. See Data Sources and Availability for more detail.

SOURCE: National Science Foundation, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics, Survey of Doctorate Recipients.

Table 1 Source Data: Excel file

These and other findings in this InfoBrief are from the 2013 Survey of Doctorate Recipients (SDR), which collects information from individuals who have earned research doctorates in SEH fields from U.S. academic institutions.

Employment Status

Field of Doctoral Study and Years since Doctorate

Of the approximately 735,900 SEH doctoral degree holders in the labor force in 2013, about one-quarter (25.5%) had earned a doctorate in the biological, agricultural, or environmental life sciences; 18.5% had doctorates in engineering; 17.1% in physical sciences; 14.5% in psychology; 12.3% in social sciences; 4.6% in health; 4.5% in mathematics and statistics; and 3.0% in computer and information sciences (percentages derived from table 1). Unemployment rates of SEH doctorates in the labor force ranged from 1.2% for those who received doctorates in mathematics and statistics to 2.7% for those who received doctorates in the physical sciences.

Of the total SEH doctoral population in February 2013, 87.8% was in the labor force, with 76.0% working full time and another 10.1% working part time (table 2). An additional 10.4% of the SEH doctoral population was retired in 2013, whereas the rest was not seeking work (1.7%). Across SEH degree fields, full-time employment ranged from 64.5% for psychology doctorates to 90.0% for computer and information sciences doctorates.

TABLE 2. Employment status of scientists and engineers with U.S. doctoral degrees, by field and years since doctorate: 2013
(Percent)
In labor force Not in labor force
Field and years since doctorate Total
(number)
All Working for pay or profit Unemployeda All Retired Not working, not seeking work
All
working
Full
time
Part
time
All U.S. SEH doctorate holders 837,900 87.8 86.0 76.0 10.1 1.8 12.2 10.4 1.7
Field of doctorate
Biological, agricultural, and environmental life sciences 211,900 88.6 86.6 79.1 7.5 2.0 11.4 9.2 2.2
Computer and information sciences 23,000 96.5 95.2 90.0 5.2 1.7 3.5 2.6 0.9
Mathematics and statistics 39,200 84.2 83.2 75.5 7.7 1.0 15.8 13.8 2.0
Physical sciences 148,800 84.4 82.1 74.4 7.7 2.3 15.6 13.8 1.7
Psychology 120,200 88.7 87.3 64.5 22.8 1.4 11.3 9.3 2.0
Social sciences 105,900 85.2 83.6 72.1 11.4 1.6 14.8 13.3 1.5
Engineering 150,600 90.5 88.8 82.7 6.1 1.7 9.5 8.4 1.1
Health 38,300 89.3 87.5 76.5 10.7 1.8 10.7 9.1 1.8
Years since doctorate
2 years or less 60,000 98.0 96.2 89.7 6.5 1.8 2.0 D 1.8
3–5 years 80,400 97.8 95.6 89.7 6.0 2.1 2.4 0.4 2.0
6–10 years 112,300 97.0 95.2 87.3 7.9 1.8 3.0 0.9 2.0
11–15 years 110,900 95.5 94.1 85.1 9.0 1.4 4.5 2.2 2.4
16–20 years 98,100 94.4 92.8 84.1 8.7 1.6 5.6 3.4 2.2
21–25 years 80,900 91.5 89.7 80.2 9.5 1.7 8.7 6.8 1.7
More than 25 years 232,800 67.0 65.2 49.3 15.9 1.8 33.0 32.1 0.9

D = suppressed to avoid disclosure of confidential information.

SEH = science, engineering, and health.

a Based on count of all doctorate recipients.

NOTES: Numbers represent weighted counts, rounded to the nearest 100. Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Designation of full-time and part-time employment status is based on principal job only, not on all jobs held in labor force. Full-time employed persons are those working at least 35 hours per week at their principal job. Part-time employed persons are those working fewer than 35 hours per week.

SOURCE: National Science Foundation, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics, Survey of Doctorate Recipients, 2013.

Table 2 Source Data: Excel file

Retirement and part-time work status differed by years since doctorate award. Those who earned their doctorates more than 25 years ago were, as expected, more likely than the younger cohorts to be retired and out of the labor force (32.1% in 2013) and to be working part time (15.9%) (table 2).[4] In contrast, years since doctorate award had no significant relationship with the unemployment rate.[5]

Demographics

Women continue to represent a growing share of doctorate holders, rising to 32.9% of all SEH doctorate holders in February 2013, from 31.5% in October 2010 and 30.2% in October 2008. In 2013, the labor force participation rate among SEH doctorate holders was 89.1% for women, compared with 87.2% for men (table 3). Female SEH doctorate holders were less likely than their male counterparts to be employed full time in 2013 (72.7% of women, 77.5% of men) and more likely not to be seeking work (3.7% of women, 0.8% of men). Female SEH doctorate holders, who as a group are younger than male SEH doctorate holders, were also less likely than their male counterparts to be retired (7.2% of women, 12.1% of men). In contrast, the proportions of female and male doctorate recipients who reported themselves as unemployed in February 2013 were not significantly different (2.0% of women, 1.7% of men).

TABLE 3. Employment status of scientists and engineers with U.S. doctoral degrees, by sex, ethnicity, race, and citizenship: 2013
(Percent)
In labor force Not in labor force
Sex, ethnicity, race, and citizenship Total (number) All Working for pay or profit Unemployeda All Retired Not working, not seeking work
All
working
Full
time
Part
time
All U.S. SEH doctorate holders 837,900 87.8 86.0 76.0 10.1 1.8 12.2 10.4 1.7
Sex
Male 562,400 87.2 85.5 77.5 7.9 1.7 12.8 12.1 0.8
Female 275,500 89.1 87.1 72.7 14.4 2.0 10.9 7.2 3.7
Ethnicity and race
Hispanic or Latino 28,800 93.8 92.0 81.9 10.1 2.1 6.3 4.5 1.4
Not Hispanic or Latino 809,200 87.6 85.8 75.7 10.1 1.8 12.4 10.7 1.7
American Indian or Alaska Native 1,800 94.4 88.9 77.8 11.1 D 5.6 5.6 D
Asian 159,400 94.2 92.2 87.6 4.5 2.1 5.8 4.1 1.7
Black or African American 25,900 94.2 91.1 79.9 11.2 3.1 5.4 4.6 0.8
Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander 1,000 90.0 90.0 80.0 10.0 D 10.0 D D
White 611,400 85.5 83.9 72.4 11.5 1.6 14.5 12.7 1.8
More than one race 9,700 89.7 85.6 76.3 9.3 3.1 11.3 8.2 3.1
Citizenship
U.S. citizen or permanent resident 809,200 87.4 85.6 75.3 10.4 1.8 12.6 10.8 1.7
Temporary visa holder 28,700 98.6 96.9 94.8 2.1 1.7 1.7 D 1.7

D = suppressed to avoid disclosure of confidential information.

SEH = science, engineering, and health.

a Based on count of all doctorate recipients.

NOTES: Numbers represent weighted counts, rounded to the nearest 100. Details may not add to totals due to rounding. Designation of full-time and part-time employment status is based on principal job only, not on all jobs held in labor force. Full-time employed persons are those working at least 35 hours per week at their principal job. Part-time employed persons are those working fewer than 35 hours per week. Persons of Hispanic or Latino origin may be of any race.

SOURCE: National Science Foundation, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics, Survey of Doctorate Recipients, 2013.

Table 3 Source Data: Excel file

A majority of the SEH doctoral population is white (73.0%), with Asians constituting the next largest group (19.0%). Within the SEH doctoral population, Hispanics or Latinos were employed full time at a higher rate than those who are not Hispanic or Latino (81.9% versus 75.7%). Among those who are not Hispanic or Latino, Asian doctorate holders exhibited a higher level of full-time employment (87.6%) than blacks or African Americans (79.9%), whites (72.4%), and those who reported more than one race (76.3%). Whites were more likely to be retired (12.7%) than were Hispanics or Latinos (4.5%), Asians (4.1%), blacks or African Americans (4.6%), and those reporting more than one race (8.2%) (table 3), reflecting the younger ages of the individuals in the SEH doctoral population who are not white.[6]

In 2013, 3.4% of the SEH doctoral population held temporary visas (derived from table 3). As might be expected based on U.S. visa requirements, almost all of these individuals (96.9%) were working full or part time; a small fraction was not in the labor force in February 2013 (1.7%).

Sector

Four-year educational institutions employed 42.2% of all working SEH doctorate recipients in 2013. Private for-profit firms employed the next-largest share of the doctoral workforce at 32.3% of the total (derived from table 4). Most doctorate recipients in the social sciences were employed in 4-year educational institutions (62.7%). Doctorate recipients in the field of engineering tended to be employed in for-profit firms (58.1%) (derived from table 4).

TABLE 4. Employed scientists and engineers with U.S. doctoral degrees, by employment sector and field of doctorate: 2013
Employment sector
Field of doctorate All
employed
4-year educational institutiona Private
for-profitb
Private
non-profit
Federal government State or local government Self-employedc Otherd
All SEH fields 720,800 304,400 233,100 45,500 49,200 16,900 43,400 28,400
Biological, agricultural, and environmental life sciences 183,500 88,800 47,300 14,000 15,700 4,000 6,700 7,000
Computer and information sciences 21,900 8,300 10,500 900 800 D 800 400
Mathematics and statistics 32,600 18,600 9,000 1,300 1,200 200 800 1,400
Physical sciences 122,200 43,600 51,200 6,300 9,500 2,300 4,100 5,200
Psychology 104,900 35,300 20,500 10,000 6,400 5,200 20,800 6,700
Social sciences 88,500 55,500 11,200 5,300 5,100 2,200 4,300 4,900
Engineering 133,700 35,100 77,700 4,600 8,000 2,000 4,500 1,800
Health 33,500 19,000 5,700 3,200 2,300 800 1,500 1,000

D = suppressed to avoid disclosure of confidential information.

SEH = science, engineering, and health.

a Includes 4-year colleges or universities, medical schools (including university-affiliated hospitals or medical centers), and university-affiliated research institutes.
b Includes those self-employed in an incorporated business.
c Self-employed or business owner in a nonincorporated business.
d Includes 2-year colleges, community colleges, technical institutes, other precollege institutions, and employers not broken out separately.

NOTES: Numbers represent weighted counts, rounded to the nearest 100. Details may not add to totals due to rounding.

SOURCE: National Science Foundation, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics, Survey of Doctorate Recipients, 2013.

Table 4 Source Data: Excel file

Data Sources and Availability

Comparative terms in this InfoBrief (e.g., higher, more or less likely, differ, increase) are based on statistical tests for significant differences at the 95% level. Percentage comparisons in this report are based on unrounded estimates and may differ from percentages calculated from the rounded estimates displayed in the tables.

The ethnicity and race categories reported here are mutually exclusive. Hispanic or Latino ethnicity refers to all individuals who reported Hispanic or Latino origin regardless of racial background. The estimates on racial backgrounds refer to individuals who were not of Hispanic or Latino origin and who reported only one racial background. Individuals who reported more than one racial background are shown as a separate group.

Data in this InfoBrief are from the SDR, a biennial longitudinal survey of individuals who earned doctoral degrees in SEH fields from U.S. institutions. A sample of doctorate recipients is followed throughout their careers until they reach age 76, and the panel is refreshed each survey cycle with a sample of recent doctoral graduates. The SDR has been conducted since 1973 and is sponsored by the National Science Foundation (NSF) in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health.

The 2013 SDR provides data from 30,696 responding sample members (76.4% response rate), representing an estimated 837,900 SEH doctorate recipients in the United States. Historically, the SDR sample included only U.S.-degreed doctorate recipients residing or working in the United States on the survey reference date. Beginning in 2010, an integrated sample design was implemented, allowing U.S.-degreed doctorate recipients located outside of the United States to be considered eligible for the survey and counted among the national sample. Once the integrated approach was developed, it was retroactively applied to the 2008 SDR data.

Data tables from the 2013 SDR are available at http://ncsesdata.nsf.gov/doctoratework/2013/. Please contact Steve Proudfoot for more information. Data from the SDR are also available in the Scientists and Engineers Statistical Data System (SESTAT) at http://www.nsf.gov/statistics/sestat.

Notes

[1] Lance A. Selfa is with NORC at the University of Chicago. For more information, contact Steven Proudfoot, Human Resources Statistics Program, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics, National Science Foundation, 4201 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 965, Arlington, VA 22230 (sproudfoot@nsf.gov; 703-292-4434). The authors thank Eric Hedberg, Carolina Milesi, Zachary Gebhardt, NORC at the University of Chicago, for their work on this InfoBrief.

[2] Counts in this InfoBrief represent weighted numbers rounded to the nearest 100. The standard error of the overall doctoral population of 837,900 is 950 (rounded up to the nearest 50). As such, the true number of doctorate recipients with U.S. doctoral degrees living in the United States in February 2013 is estimated (at a 95% confidence interval) to be between 836,000 and 839,700. For a listing of science, engineering, and health fields included in the 2013 Survey of Doctorate Recipients, see technical table B-1 at http://ncsesdata.nsf.gov/doctoratework/2013/#tabs-2.

[3] Unemployment statistics for the general population aged 25 years or older are published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and were obtained from http://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/empsit_03082013.htm (accessed 8 April 2014). The civilian unemployment rate for the population aged 16 years or older—the labor force measure as defined by BLS (http://www.bls.gov/cps/cps_htgm.htm#concepts (accessed 7 May 2014)—in February 2013 was 7.7%, which is available at http://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000 (accessed on 8 April 2014). Persons are classified as unemployed if they do not have a job, have actively looked for work in the prior 4 weeks, and are currently available for work.

[4] The length of time since doctorate receipt is associated with age: the median age of those with more than 25 years since doctorate receipt is 65 years, and the median age of those with 25 or fewer years since doctorate receipt is 44 years.

[5] Two measures of unemployment are used in this InfoBrief: (1) the unemployment rate as noted in table 1, which is based on the count of doctorate recipients in the labor force, and (2) the percentage unemployed as noted in tables 2 and 3, which is based on the count of all doctorate recipients, regardless of whether they are in the labor force.

[6] Because of the small sizes of the populations of (1) American Indians or Alaska Natives and (2) Native Hawaiians or Other Pacific Islanders, statistically reliable comparisons between these two groups and others were not possible.


National Science Foundation, National Center for Science and Engineering Statistics
Unemployment among Doctoral Scientists and Engineers Remained Below the National Average in 2013
Arlington, VA (NSF 14-317) [September 2014]


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