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Discovery

Predicting the Next Major Virus

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Map showing regions where people have increasing contact with wildlife.

Bright red zones on the map indicate areas where people have increasing contact with wildlife, mostly developing nations at or near the equator. Researchers say these regions are highly susceptible to new emerging diseases.

Credit: Nature


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Illustration of bugs with map of tropics; text: Emerging diseases: Are the tropics the next hotspot?

A new study published in the Feb. 21 edition of Nature predicts countries concentrated along the equator in areas such as Southeast Asia, India and Bangladesh, West Africa, Southern Brazil, and some parts of Europe and North America could be hotspots for the next pandemic disease.

Credit: Zina Deretsky, National Science Foundation


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Map showing patterns of drug-resistant emerging infectious disease.

Researchers found 54.3 percent of emerging infectious disease (EID) events are caused by bacteria or rickettsia, reflecting a large number of drug-resistant microbes. Drug resistant EIDs most commonly are reported in highly developed regions like Europe and North America.

Credit: Nature


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